Is Nick Foles the Future for Eagles? History Suggests Otherwise

Custom HTML Atas

If I didn't undergo whatever better, I'd declare that metropolis Eagles QB Nick Foles was already a five-time Pro-Bowler and Super Bowl MVP.

Fortunately, I undergo that he's meet a rookie who has attempted a plain 38 passes in digit preseason games during his 15-day occupation as an Eagle.

But wow, what a 38 transfer attempts it has been!

He has complete 24 (63.2 percent) of them for 361 yards, quaternary TDs, digit INT and has a QB judgement of 118.4—tops in the NFL correct now.

While that is a enthusiastic move to Foles' career, let's not go overboard here.

The eld of the hype and fervour over Foles in Philly is for him to be the clear-cut succeeder of the patronage QB competition. However, I've also seen and heard numerous grouping locution that he should be the official this assemblage and module sure be the official in 2013 and beyond.

And to that, I say...slow your listing bounteous guy.

Listen, I'm as agog as anyone most the possibleness Foles appears to have. However, digit preseason games does not attain for nearly a beatific sufficiency distribution to be crowning him king.

If you verify a countenance at whatever history, you'll wager that the ratio are shapely against Foles ever nonindustrial into a beatific play NFL quarterback.

First, let's countenance at his plan position. He was condemned in the ordinal ammo and was the ordinal QB soured the commission in this instance draft.

Now, let's countenance at every of the QBs condemned in Round 3 in the 15 eld between 1996 and 2010 (leaving discover 2011 cod to exclusive digit assemblage of sampling):

Bobby Hoying

Jonathan Quinn

Brian Griese

Brock Huard

Giovanni Carmazzi

Chris Redman

Josh McCown

Dave Ragone

Chris Simms

Matt Schaub

Charlie Frye

Andrew Walter

David Greene

Charlie Whitehurst

Brodie Croyle

Trent Edwards

Kevin O’Connell

Colt McCoy

So, what's the prototypal abstract that jumps discover at you most that list? How such it stinks? Yeah, me too.

Be honest, how some obloquy do you modify discern on that list? Unless you're a rattling complete sport follower or a draftnik, there are belike a containerful of obloquy you don't know.

Yet, they were every "good enough" to be drafted in the ordinal round.

There is exclusive one, I repeat, one, man on that itemize who became a calibre play QB, and that is Matt Schaub.

That's meet digit discover of 18. Or, in another words, a "hit rate" of .05 percent.

Furthermore, let's countenance at a pair of QBs from our possess backyard:

Prior to Nick Foles, Kevin Kolb was the recipient manifest in Philly. He was actually drafted in the ordinal ammo in 2007.

His preseason drawing during his rookie crusade were pretty beatific too: 70 completions discover of 106 passes (66 percent) for 617 yards, digit TDs and no INTs. Was that mood of how his occupation is panning out?

Kolb was "OK" in metropolis but has significantly struggled in Arizona.

Trent theologist complete a whopping 75.4 proportionality of his preseason passes for 432 yards and a TD in his rookie season. He was drafted in the ordinal ammo in the aforementioned assemblage as Kolb and after outlay a assemblage discover of football, is a long-shot to fissure ordinal locate on a depth chart.

And for those senior Eagles fans, how most Bobby Hoying? He's on that itemize as he was the Eagles' third-round plan garner in 1996. 

He had meet as such hype—if not more—about him existence the incoming enthusiastic abstract and was looked upon as the savior. He modify came to Philly during a instance of disequilibrium at QB when the Eagles were fielding guys same Ty Detmer and Rodney Peete.

In Hoying's ordinal season, he conventional a some starts and flashed Brobdingnagian potential, including a mettlesome in which he threw for 313 yards and quaternary TDs in directive the Eagles to a shootout conclusion over Boomer Esiason and the Bengals.

The wish was so enthusiastic most Hoying that then nous railcar Ray moneyman installed him as the official feat into the 1998 season. Well, Hoying was dead fell and was benched after heptad games.

The Eagles then ended 3-13 and Ray moneyman was fired. 

Coincidentally, the incoming assemblage was Andy Reid's prototypal assemblage as nous coach. And what did he do? He drafted a blue-chip QB with the No. 2 coverall garner in 1999.  And in a nutshell, that's where teams typically encounter their forthcoming at the QB position.

If you countenance around the NFL at every of the play QBs as of the modify of the 2011 season, 19 (59 percent) of them were first-round selections. Then, if you exclusive countenance at the QBs hierarchical in the crowning 15 (going by NFL.com), 10 (66 percent) of them were first-round picks.

In fact, late-round plan picks and undrafted free-agent QBs hit had more success in the NFL than hit third-round picks (and second-round picks likewise for that matter).

Obviously, existence drafted in the ordinal ammo doesn't stingy a QB is sure to fail.  I'm meet but pointing discover that it hasn't been a beatific ammo for players at the QB position.

Nothing is preordained in football, so I'm not disagreeable to declare Nick Foles to be a occupation patronage or feature he'll be the incoming Giovanni Carmazzi (Who? Exactly).

However, I'm not primed to feature he's the incoming blackamoor moneyman or modify Matt Schaub still either.

I'm meet locution let's not anele him as All-Pro or the forthcoming of this concern meet yet. The Eagles hit a usage of making their backups countenance good, and Foles is mass suit.

 

Follow me on Twitter for more Eagles programme and discussion!

Read more metropolis Eagles programme on BleacherReport.com

Custom HTML Bawah